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Thursday, December 01, 2005

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Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Guvs' Polls: What's Red is Blue and Blue is Red:

» Red State-Blue State Reversal? from Taegan Goddard's Political Wire
Josh Goodman found an interesting and surprising finding in the latest Survey USA 50 state poll: Republican governors in states carried by Bush in 2004 have an average approval rating of 51%. Republicans in Kerry states have an average approval of 54%.... [Read More]

» Red State-Blue State Reversal? from Taegan Goddard's Political Wire
Josh Goodman discovered an interesting and surprising finding in the latest Survey USA 50 state poll: Republican governors in states carried by Bush in 2004 have an average approval rating of 51%. Republicans in Kerry states have an average approval of... [Read More]

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Comments

Laurence p. Harkness

It is hard to believe that you averaged Taft of Ohio's approval rating of 6.5% and still came up with 51percent for GOP in Bush carried states. LPH

edaigneau

But if you look at the question asked, how many people were polled and how the poll breaks down--it isn't really very representative to begin with. I doubt Taft's popularity--while low--is really that low. Nor would I say it is that high either.

John

Its been a reality now for a while that Democrats and Republicans can win governorships in states where they have no chance to win in national elections, because it is an entirely separate type of election. Actually, Democrats should me more succesful in gubentorial elections in 2006 than in national elections, b/c they do not get as trapped up by social issues and a lack of clear and legitimate national security strategy. Karl Rove started the Iraq War, b/c he knew it would fracture the Democratic party. It did. Nancy Pelosi saying one things and Harry Reid and Steny Hoyer saying another is doom for the Democrats.

Colin Newman

Brad Henry is incredibly popular here in Oklahoma because he's done what the national democratic party should do: present clear ideas on issues the voters care about. He campaigned on a clear agenda focused primarily on education, health care, and the economy, and has managed to get most of his proposals through the legislature. I think that the key is that the majority of people regardless of state are somewhere in the political middle, a fact that is obscured by the winner take all nature of the electoral college. Also, Idealogues don't make good administrators; if a politician is so committed to his pet issues that he can't make an occasional compromise, he isn't likely to get much done, and most people just want the trains to run on time and the trash to get picked up.

Devin Lavelle

Perhaps it's just a selectivity bias. To get elected in an off-color state, candidates have to be much better than they would in a state more friendly to their party.

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