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Tuesday, August 15, 2006

Comments

Alan Ehrenhalt

I don't follow Darcy's logic. The statewide votein favor of the cockfighting ban doesn't preclude an unusual number of rural Democrats coming out to vote on the pro-cockfighting side, and also giving a booost to Henry, does it?

Josh

It certainly doesn't. Although he didn't say it in so many words, I think Darcy believes that urban or suburban voters felt more comfortable with Largent because of his stand against cockfighting, making the issue a wash.
I still am inclined to think it was a net benefit to Henry, since, at least from observing from more than 1,000 miles away, it seems that the people who felt more intensely about the issue were the cockfighting supporters. And, given that Henry's margin was only a few thousand votes, it probably made enough of a difference to explain his entire margin. But with an election that was that tight, probably almost any factor, up to and including what color ties the candidates wore to the debates, shifted enough to "decide" the election. Darcy clearly thought others besides cockfighting were more important.

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