CQ has this useful list of poll closing times. Now that polls are closed in the majority of states, I think it's safe to say that, from Drudge Report to Daily Kos, we saw far fewer exit polls leaked prior to closings than in 2004.
Few analysts have been talking much about Republicans losing either house of the Ohio legislature, but with the toxic environment for the GOP in the state, it's hard to rule it out as a possibility. I bring this up because CNN's exit poll in Ohio shows Democrat Ted Strickland winning 65% of female voters and 59% of male voters. If his margin is really that big, he might have some coattails.
I'm still getting calls from Democratic friends saying they don't believe their party can actually pull off a win tonight. Meanwhile, Republicans in D.C. today have been saying things like, "I'm enjoying the last day of the House majority."
Which brand of pessimists is right? How are you readers feeling at this point, with about a half-hour of voting left in the east?
At 64 percent, Northup-Yarmuth race is tightening, 50-49 Yarmuth. In early Indiana results, Republicans are leading in two fo the three competitive U.S. House races, but Ellsworth is up 70-30 over incumbent GOPer John Hostettler. Must be Dem-friendly precincts reporting first.
Our first call: CNN says that the ban on same-sex marriage will pass in Virginia, which is a surprisingly quick call on a vote that looked like it could be close. Polls are closed in South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Vermont and New Hampshire. No word on the governors races in those states, which says more about how low a priority governors races are for the national media than it does about the competitiveness of those elections.
With 37 percent of precincts reporting, Democrat John Yarmuth is leading in Kentucky's 3rd District in Louisville, a nominally Democratic-leaning district that has been held for the last decade by Republican Anne Northup. This is one Democrats always targeted, then seemed to give up on, now would dearly love to take.